La zona de la muerte es un concepto acuñado por el médico suizo Edouard Wyss-Dunant en 1953 como la zona por encima de los 7.500 metros de altitud en la cual ya el ser humano ya no puede aclimatarse debido principalmente a la presión atmosférica.
The 3 megatrends that are shaping the world (world population growth, the exponential advance of technology and hyper-connectivity) are going to trigger a great tidal wave which will move the economic and commercial center (of gravity) to the East.
3,000 million new people will emerge in the next decade, generating a new generation of consumption but with a clear feature: they´ll get the state-of-the-art technology, which will dramatically increase competition. This being so, economies, companies and institutions cannot waste more time and must get ready for challenges.
As in climate change, there will be losers and winners. Markets and wages will be polarized and the education gap will become larger. Here I collect 5 key points to build a winning project.
Post by Christian Manrique
As the US withdraws from the Climate Change Paris Agreement, the world enters a new era of uncertainty about a better future for all. The worst predictions about Donald Trump’s presidency and new policies seem to become realities and therefore rough times are ahead of us, maybe for the next four years, perhaps eight, until he is either removed or finishes his mandate or mandates. He might be the dimmest President the US has ever had. The US is missing the target on Climate Change. Nonetheless, this is not a crisis, it’s just a setback and it can be fixed. Information has become essential for citizens. I’m trying to contribute here with these lines to spread light.
Christian Manrique’s new post
As the IMF WEO (World Economic Outlook) report points out, after a lackluster outturn in 2016, economic activity is projected to pick up pace in 2017 and 2018, especially in emerging markets and developing economies. But let’s analyze 2016 activity. Economic growth was estimated in 3.1%. Nevertheless, World Trade Organization stated that world trade would be around 1.7% below world economic growth. In fact, this has been quite remarkable, as world trade, for the last fifteen years, hasn’t grown below economic rhythm.
I DO NOT LIKE THE TERM “ENTREPRENEUR “ NOR THE ADJECTIVE “DISRUPTIVE” . NOT BECAUSE THEY ENJOY SENSE AND RELEVANCE BUT BECAUSE, INTO FASHION, ITS ESSENCE IS BLURRED.
MORE CLEAR, STRAIGHTFORWARD AND CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMES WE LIVE IN TODAY AND, ABOVE ALL, THAT THOSE WHO COME TO US, WE HAVE ANOTHER SERIES OF QUALIFIERS SUCH AS “ADVENTUROUS”, “CREATOR”, “INCLUSIVE”, “PASSIONATE” AND “MAVERICK” WHO HAVE TO TAKE CENTER STAGE, ALONG WITH THE ABILITY TO SACRIFICE AND SPIRIT OF OVERCOMING.
Analysing competitiveness key factors becomes essential to successfully tackle the present and future economic environment. This has been so far the goal pursued in several previous articles in this blog.
The most relevant factor to take into consideration in order to become competitive and play the field in big markets was a complex operation.
Coming up with it involved dissecting the list of countries by R+D investment rating and establishing a difference between this indicator and the set of variables that determine the innovative character of a country.
This factor will conclude, in terms of international competitive relevance, which countries lie at the forefront of international influence and which must face difficulties and limitations for being placed right behind or even farther.
So, taking these elements into consideration, current global economic power epicentre is being moved towards the East by new prominent areas specialized in trading goods, along with countries from other parts of the world like the USA.
La desaceleración del gigante asiático va más allá de su repercusión a la baja en los precios de las commodities y el petróleo. Su situación está favoreciendo la ralentización en América Latina, región muy dependiente de la exportación de sus commodities y debilitada por crisis internas como la de Brasil.
Lo que sucede en China, en mi opinión, es la gestación y preparación para su nuevo modelo de desarrollo. Un modelo de crecimiento que pasará de la exportación y la inversión a un modelo de crecimiento que se basará en el consumo, los servicios, la tecnología y el conocimiento.
When a concept becomes a trend two things happen. It starts to be used anytime and, on the other hand, its meaning loses relevance and importance.
This is what has happened with “innovation” and more specifically with “R&D investment”. It turned out to be worse when Media and Political messages integrated that idea as the real and only solution for everything, also linked to the “new production model”.
Let’s face it, the whole idea is quite appropriate. The equation R&D plus production model makes sense. But then again, the formula remains uncompleted, though.
Technological advances and digital development are unstoppable within the knowledge era. High speed changes and continuous growth will set its evolution, with commonwealth and prosperity as its main goals through high value added services and products.
The new industrial revolution will have great impact on enterprises as well as Administration and citizenship over social, economic and industrial issues.
How products are made, searching for new business models and new key factors for the productive system will become ineluctable.
Continuous transformation will shape our times.
Chances and challenges
Citizenship will play a major role in the upcoming years. As online users, citizens will set production and consuming trends with their digital power. Work relations will also change, talent embracing enterprises instead will become the turning point. This will be even deeper within the education field.
Enterprises must search new business models based upon talent and personalized products, services and technologies. Any enterprise willing to be part of new markets shall adapt itself in a continuous flow of innovation, besides investing constantly in R&D.
On the other hand, Administrations must push innovation throughout a good educational system to generate talent, research oriented and willing to enable financial help.
In this new industrial revolution, will unemployment rates rise?
Technology (mobile devices, Big Data, the iCloud, IoT, 3D and 4D printers, drones and robotics) and digital development (Social Media and Internet defining new ways to socialize) will produce several impacts originating the new industrial revolution. Let’s see some examples:
Impact over the education system: this implies coming up with new learning methods fostering creativity. Changing roles played by schools and teachers is already a reality, although they will not disappear.
Impact over business: using robotics and 3D and 4D printers will overtake traditional manpower based upon traditional production and crafting methods. Future jobs are going to be influenced entirely by IT and CPS.
Impact over health systems: diagnosis will be faster due to computer implementation able to analyze bigger amounts of data in less time. Of course, doctors will still play a major role, but with better tools to perform their task.
Impact over Mass Media: will machines be able to write news like reporters do? The answer is yes, writing a report and a tribune might be something different, though. Professional tasks must adapt to technological improvements.
Impact over transportation: cars, trains and planes will become driverless. In this case, again, role re-invention will also be
Industrial revolutions’ impact over the years has overtaken manpower adapting its tasks, like evolving from the primary sector of the economy to the secondary one. So, this fourth industrial revolution goes beyond. It is based upon new role requirements and capabilities within the technological and creativity fields obtained through new continuous education processes.
As a society, we are heading towards a new vital theatre where jobs will become less intensive embracing knowledge economy. Thus, adaptation capability to changes is required.
The most balanced situation, being realistic, among the different issues brought up, would become a hybrid between technology and the human factor, always having as a common factor continuous education.
