El Ciclo de Inteligencia 1

Post de Christian Manrique

Este nuevo post trata el origen y la vigencia del Ciclo de Inteligencia como modelo hegemónico para describir el proceso de generación de inteligencia.

Los orígenes del Ciclo de Inteligencia son difíciles de precisar. El historiador Michael Warner lo sitúa en los siglos XVIII y XIX cuando los revolucionarios franceses necesitaban un sistema para explicar la inteligencia a su personal cualificado. Pero el concepto del Ciclo de Inteligencia se popularizó en Estados Unidos por Sherman Kent, siendo su obra clave para el entrenamiento de los profesionales de inteligencia.

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MONEYBALL GUARDIOLA

Ideas start with ourselves. In sports, being familiar with or knowing the playfield has been debated to a great extend about how this made a difference to obtain a competitive advantage over the local team.

At the same time, this has had to do with the kind of grass and the size of the field. But at the end all teams obtained the same victory rate playing at home.

The question lies in not having found a real differentiating factor that could give any team a competitive advantage over its adversaries, beyond the advantage of playing at home.

The quality of the team counts and a bigger budget can attract more talent and, therefore, more victories.

Then, am I just saying that the team with more resources is the one able to attract more talent and therefore capable of improving its victory rate? Or, on the other hand, a team on a lower budget will never be able to get a talented and competitive team on low wages?

To both questions the answer is no. As the film Moneyball points out, it’s about breaking the rules.

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IDEAS HAVING SEX

 

This post title comes from a sentence by Matt Ridley, a British journalist, businessman and author of popular science books with a very strong scientific background, who when pointing this idea out was making a word game which is easy to accept. Yes, ideas have intercourse taking into consideration that an idea is a combination of several ideas.

Tinder combines match.com with a smartphone. Pizza Hut melts Mc Donald’s and pizza. Mc Donald’s takes hamburgers through a production chain. There would be a wide number of success cases and all of them have in common the conjunction of different ideas.

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ECONOMIC POLARIZATION AS AN OPPORTUNITY

Extreme markets segments era

Market polarization as a trend is not new. On the contrary, it has been going on for the last years. What it is happening, maybe, due to fast changes taking place, is that has been unnoticed for some, while for others has become something normality.

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LOST GENERATIONS?

Economic growth models always go through cyclic and anticyclic processes. Somehow, it is like test they take and results will depend upon their stability and resistance.

In any case, manpower takes most of the damage while these processes are on and consequences are usually devastating. Unemployment increases and a part of the population is put aside because it has specialized in an obsolete model that will never come back. This population group must reinvent itself.

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WORLD UNEMPLOYMENT, WILL IT RISE?

New industrial revolution, known as the fourth industrial revolution, implies a set of important factors deeply concerning current social system.

Previous industrial revolutions transformed all productive sectors, which came along with migration from towns to cities and to industrial areas. In those places, machines took over manual worker. Currently there is a new component that is growing unstoppable: technology.

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WORLD ECONOMY IN 2020

 

Oil as a decisive factor 2016-2020

Oil has gone down to its minimum historical rank within the last decade, the barrel was below 30 USD. Now is at 50 USD. In June 2014 it was at 115 USD.

Beyond geopolitical issues that might have influenced this current situation, there are other aspects to take into account. The increase of oil supply -even higher due to Iran becoming a stakeholder again; low demand, due to China’s crisis; and USA’s reserves, are responsible for this situation.

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ACURIO AND OLIVER: MOVEMENT AND CHANGE

Both of them, with different goals but with a common artistic gift for gastronomy, have made a revolution.  One has contributed to create a brand: Peru. The other has spread a healthier food style transforming cooking into a lever with a social effect. In both cases, technology, innovation and education are the columns in which their movements are built on.

GASTÓN ACURIO FOTO

Gastón Acurio

JAMES OLIVER FOTO

Jamie Oliver

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REVOLUTIONARY GENERATION

Sociologists classify in three generations the ones that today share the same world and structure society and enterprises: Baby Boomers, X Generation and Y Generation. The three of them come from different education backgrounds and have lived different historic periods. The most different aspect among them is their unique approach to technology.

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20 QUESTIONS TO ASK A PRESIDENT

 

The 20 most important questions that any presidential candidate should answer:

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  1. Explain with only a word your productive model proposal.
  2. Point out the main drivers of your economic proposal and the reasons why you have selected them and why others have been rejected.
  3. Give the fundamentals for your Spanish energy scheme, parts and how you would consider sustainable energies.
  4. Which would your current and future -next four years- SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) matrix be for Spain.
  5. How would you determine the competitive advantages for Spain that will become its competitive advantage?
  6. Towards which region in the world would you turn Spanish international economic relations to?
  7. Which are your education model key points and which are the differential factors compared to other countries within its zone of influence?
  8. How would you face in short, medium and long term the aging population problem and what’s your plan for a sustainable welfare system?
  9. Which sanitary management models currently applied from around the world you know? Which could be the most suitable for Spain without clashing with the one given today to Spaniards?
  10. Which are the top ten public policies you would implement within your firs year on office, how would you finance them and which measurable outcome do you expect?
  11. In case any of these public policies fails, what would your alternative plan be?
  12. What is your Government plan to put Spain among the top innovative countries?
  13. How are you going to make Spain a more suitable place for entrepreneurs? Do your proposals come from any specific success case or they have been thought specifically for the Spanish reality?
  14. How is your Government action going to push all the different Spanish economic sectors to become technology leaders?
  15. How are you going to turn Spain into an English bilingual country, or at least to have proficiency speakers, and how long is it going to take?
  16. How are you going to make the technological revolution a lever for equal opportunities and to avoid it to become an inequality and a social gap factor?
  17. What’s your agenda for adapting current laws to the digital revolution?
  18. What are talent recirculating policies about and give the main ideas to implement it within education and professional areas from an international perspective?
  19. How are Spanish students and professionals going to acquire experience abroad and how have you thought about returning all this talent and knowledge back to our country?
  20. What are your top ten measurable goals that in case of not acquiring them will imply a failure as a politician and as President of Spain?